20.-21.

March 2019

Munich

Food for 9 billion people in 2050

Congress

Foodtropolis - Will Cities Shape our Perception of Food and Nature?

180521_FAO_Innovation_Food (Auszug).001

Foodtropolis - Will Cities Shape our Perception of Food and Nature?

The next agricultural revolution will take place in urban areas. And the main drivers of this topic are start ups and companies mainly not based in traditional agriculture, but in bioeconomics. The UN predicts, that up to 70 percent of the world’s population will live in cities in 2050. Over the last two decades urban life-style shaped the expectations to live a long and healthy life respecting our natural resources. The UN Sustainable Development Goals 2030 summarize the life style driven needs for our growing society on a global level. What are the consequences? The perception of nature and food, the cultural role of traditional agriculture will be challenged. Formerly separated professions like pharma and food production will intermingle. Farmers will add new breeding technologies, be it insect farming or growing stem cells. Urban farmers or fisher will offer fresh local vegetables from circular in house systems. The profession “farmer” will be challenged by a technological revolution.

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News

The Global Food Summit visited the FAO in Rome

The curators of the Global Food Summit, Prof. Justus Wesseler from the University of Wageningen and Stephan Becker-Sonnenschein, head and founder of the Global Food Summit, visited the FAO in Rome on the 25th of May to speak in front of more than 150 people about "Foodtropolis - Will Cities Shape our Perception of Food and Nature?".

From Prof. Justus Wesseler, University of Wageningen

The Future of Food – What’s Left for Agriculture?

The production of meat and fish from stem cells is coming closer to reality. Several companies invest in this technology (NRC). The technology looks promising and appealing. Animal meat produced without slaughtering cattle, pigs, chickens, or catch fish from the ocean avoids issues related to animal welfare and declining marine biodiversity. The environmental impacts related to animal production such as greenhouse gases emissions and disposal of manure are other potential benefits.

The technologies, however, at this point time are still far from reaching the market in substantial amounts, and it is difficult to predict when this will be. Still, investments are being made to produce sizeable amounts. Some of these investments are expected to turn into production next year, others are still far away from being operational. It is also difficult to predict who the winners will be.

Four ways in which the food system will revolutionise

Nevertheless, the current developments will almost certainly revolutionise the food systems. First, from a biological point of view, there are a number of reasons in favour of the new technology. Meat and fish produced from the Petri dish will need less inputs. The energy for supporting other activities of animals and fish, such as reproduction, will not be needed. Second, the products look appealing to consumers from an animal welfare as well as environmental point of view. Third, the economics are in favour of the technology—the gross value of production of meat and fish in the United States is more than 200 billion dollars; the production of meat in the European Union is valued at more than 210 billion dollars and the production of fish at 10 billion dollars. Fourth, the developments are driven by private sector investments. The companies must have had good arguments for attracting those investments. In addition, there are other important developments in the food industry such as plant– and insect-based food products and the rapid increase in aquaculture production.
Before these new technologies reach the market, there are important issues to consider which the companies involved cannot address themselves.

Implications for the sector

If the products reach the market in large quantities what are the implications for intensive animal farming such as poultry, beef, and pork producers? What are the implications for the up- and downstream sectors such as feed or meat and fish processing industries? While urban areas might not be so largely affected as production and processing will mainly be located in urban and peri-urban areas, the consequences for rural areas might be more serious. Will there be further losses in rural employment opportunities, and if so what to do about it? What are the alternatives to animal husbandry? Will all the broiler farms start to produce eggs or simply close down? Will hog farms disappear? If they do, what then? These are important questions that need to be addressed not only in the European Union under the current debate about the CAP reform, but also in the United States and developing countries. There will still be consumers who enjoy a steak, a chicken breast, a pork chop, or a salmon but the demands for animal and environmental friendly modes of production will increase. This will gradually strengthen the market for certified meat products such as scharrelkip here in The Netherlands and elsewhere. But as already mentioned, this will take time.

While the market, in this case allocating investments, may solve many of the structural issues emerging from an increase in the production of meat and fish from the lab, it will not solve all of them or at least not at a level we may find satisfying. Trying to delay or block the new developments through regulations and other means—often with the argument of buying time for adjustment—is, perhaps, not a good response. The environmental and animal welfare benefits do not support this. But we urgently need a debate about the wider implications of the new food technologies for the agricultural and food sector and the future of rural areas. This calls for even larger public investments in rural infrastructure to increase opportunities for investment in alternatives to animal husbandry, but also research assessing possible implications of the new food technologies.

 

Save the Date

Global Food Summit 2019

 

Milk without cows, meat without cattle and greens without soil – Is this the future of our nutrition? Driven by the UN-Sustainable Development Goals 2030 and the urban society, which aims for sustained production of food for every single one of the 9 billion people.

Foodtropolis - Will Cities Shape our Perception of Food and Nature?

This is the topic discussed on the 20th and the 21th of March 2019, by international scientists, politicians, and business representatives in the Residence in Munich.

 

Retrospect Global Food Summit 2017

Photos and impressions by Kathrin Schäfer and Klara Yoon

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